As we make the quick pivot from this past weekend’s South Carolina primary to the first (and biggest) multi-state contest in the Democratic nominating process, there are already tea leaves to be read regarding Democratic intensity and enthusiasm. 14 states hold primaries tomorrow, along with caucuses in American Samoa. But in reality, most of these…
FEBRUARY 25, 2020 Thanks for taking the time to check out our first TargetSmart Insights election data newsletter. As the election year unfolds, the punditry is only going to increase – and TargetSmart’s goal is to guide the noise with interesting data and nuanced analysis. My hope is to share, about once a week, some…
Key Precinct-Level Analysis Takeaways: Precinct-level turnout analysis suggests that increased Spanish language advertising in a media market predicts significantly and substantially increased Latinx turnout. Immigration-related Spanish advertising spending predicts significantly higher Latinx turnout at the precinct level, while English language immigration-related advertising does not. Key Market-Level Analysis Takeaways: Market-level synthetic control analyses show that in…
All eyes turn to Virginia ahead of its statewide elections on November 5th, where all 40 seats in the state Senate and 100 seats in state House of Delegates are up for re-election. Despite Virginia’s long history as a battleground state, it has trended blue in recent years, most notably in 2017 when Democrats flipped…
State: Senate District: Demographic: Demographic Value: NJVA All001002003004005006007008009010011012013014015016017018019020021022023024025026027028029030031032033034035036037038039040 AgeRaceGenderVoter ScoreParty RollupUrbanicityRace with Education All18-2930-3940-4950-6465+ Share Custom URL – 2015- 2017- 2019 18 -2930- 3940-4950-6465+70% 65% 60%…
As a dozen Democratic presidential candidates descend upon Westerville, Ohio, for this week’s debate, whether Ohio remains a true battleground state or whether its Republican-leaning trend will continue remains to be seen. Having voted for the Democratic nominee in four of the last ten elections, Ohio voters delivered Donald Trump the largest winning margin (eight…
