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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Democrats Still Have Path to Victory in Iowa

Victory in Iowa Democrats have been fretting in recent years about how once-purple Iowa was ostensibly slipping into red territory. After President Barack Obama won the state twice, the 2014 and 2016 election cycles saw Republicans expand and maintain their grip on state and federal seats. November 2018’s midterm elections show, however, that despite older…

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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Democratic Growth Potential in Ohio Voting Patterns

In an historic midterm election defined by Congressional and gubernatorial seats flipping from Republicans to Democrats, Ohio was an outlier. Going into the 2018 election, Ohio Republicans held 12 House seats and the Governor’s mansion; Ohio Democrats held four House seats and a Senate seat — exactly the same as today. While other traditional and…

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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Strength of a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in Texas

Following an electrifying Senate race where Beto O’Rourke’s campaign nearly claimed Ted Cruz’s Senate seat, an energized youth vote may spell trouble for Donald Trump, John Cornyn, and vulnerable House Republicans in 2020. A new Quinnipiac poll lends credence to this possibility, revealing a virtual polling tie between Trump and leading Democratic contenders including Beto…

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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Shift to a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in Arizona

A new TargetSmart analysis reveals a shift toward a younger and more diverse electorate in Arizona, solidifying its status as an emergent swing state ahead of the 2020 election. The analysis finds that more than a third of voters of color were under 24 years old, suggesting the potential for long-term power at the polls…

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US General Election Vote History

National Summary  Demographic:                   Demographic Value:      Type: AgeRaceGenderVoter ScoreParty RollupUrbanicityRace with Education          All18-2930-3940-4950-6465+              Vote ShareTurnout Share Custom URL – 2014- 2016- 201818-2930-3940-4950-6465+45%40%35%30%25%20%15%10%5%0%10.5%12.7%7.1%13.2%14.4%10.7%15.0%15.9%15.5%30.0%29.6%34.3%30.9%26.7%31.4% Demo201420162018 18-29 5,778,594 17,533,091 12,283,554 30-39 8,737,605 19,906,283 15,518,027 40-49 12,659,736 21,932,399 17,562,723 50-64 28,048,268…

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TargetSmart Analysis Shows a Younger and More Diverse Georgia Electorate

It’s been nearly a month since a historic blue wave swept across the country, a midterm election that saw Democrats pick up at least 40 seats in the House plus 7 governor’s seats, in addition to hundreds of state legislative seats nationwide. Stacey Abrams, the Democratic candidate for governor in Georgia, fell just short, but…

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